Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006455 0.007513 0.008762 0.010368 0.012408 0.014953 0.018442
2025-04-13 0.005122 0.006417 0.008118 0.010591 0.014228 0.019623 0.028763
2025-04-20 0.004492 0.005921 0.007945 0.011172 0.016510 0.025704 0.044824
2025-04-27 0.004020 0.005503 0.007728 0.011547 0.018516 0.032249 0.067281
2025-05-04 0.003592 0.005058 0.007355 0.011529 0.019787 0.038075 0.094831
2025-05-11 0.003258 0.004696 0.007035 0.011500 0.021000 0.044515 0.134188
2025-05-18 0.002947 0.004325 0.006631 0.011211 0.021553 0.049725 0.180453
2025-05-25 0.002653 0.003946 0.006154 0.010675 0.021360 0.052808 0.226297
2025-06-01 0.002427 0.003654 0.005794 0.010301 0.021446 0.056939 0.294487
2025-06-08 0.002308 0.003533 0.005727 0.010529 0.023171 0.068330 0.483834
2025-06-15 0.002164 0.003353 0.005522 0.010412 0.023920 0.076847 0.732786
2025-06-22 0.001998 0.003118 0.005187 0.009936 0.023464 0.079815 0.952721
2025-06-29 0.001861 0.002936 0.004961 0.009739 0.024022 0.089790 1.648614
2025-07-06 0.001775 0.002843 0.004903 0.009952 0.026097 0.112313 4.830231
2025-07-13 0.001726 0.002811 0.004965 0.010486 0.029654 0.154346 51.873289
2025-07-20 0.001664 0.002749 0.004955 0.010829 0.032776 0.205913 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001582 0.002640 0.004826 0.010813 0.034431 0.252138 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001508 0.002539 0.004703 0.010787 0.036086 0.310373 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001425 0.002414 0.004514 0.010522 0.036460 0.354585 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001335 0.002269 0.004265 0.010030 0.035437 0.370024 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001261 0.002154 0.004072 0.009686 0.035090 0.402950 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001226 0.002113 0.004053 0.009895 0.038025 0.556637 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001175 0.002038 0.003944 0.009788 0.039070 0.679312 NaN